The following information is shared from our partners at the National Weather Service, Portland, OR office.
SYNOPSIS: A broad Pacific trough will move over the
Pacific Northwest from the Gulf of Alaska this weekend bringing a series of
cold fronts to our area. The first front will move onto the coast early
Saturday followed by a stronger front on Monday. Unsettled weather is expected
to continue through the Thanksgiving week as the trough remains in place and
cold fronts continue to move through.
PRIMARY AREAS IMPACTED: At this time,
it appears Western Oregon and Southwest Washington will experience the biggest
impacts.
IMPACTS:
- The main impacts
will be areas of heavy rain with a potential to bring flooding to the area. Of particular concern is flooding of
small streams and urban areas due to clogged storm drains.
- The strongest
winds will be confined to coastal areas and the coast range. Most impacts
will be associated with the stronger cold front on Monday.
- Significant snow
will be confined to areas above pass level through Monday.
TIMING:
- The first cold
front will move onto the coast Saturday morning.
- The second, much
stronger cold front will move inland late Monday afternoon, but rain
associated with this front begins late Sunday.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE:
- Heavy
Rain…Confidence is high that some areas will receive heavy rain from these
fronts (especially the Monday storm) but confidence is low on location and
duration of that rain.
- Strong
Wind…Confidence is high that the first front Saturday morning will bring
strong winds with gusts near 50 mph.
A much stronger storm appears to be developing for Monday with winds during the day on Monday reaching 40 mph with gusts between 70 and 80 mph. Confidence on the wind forecast for the second storm is moderate.
UNCERTAINITIES: Model forecasts vary on the location and
timing of the heaviest rain, with the central coast appearing to be the hardest
hit.
- Tonight and
Saturday: 1-2 inches along the coast and in the coast range with up to 0.5
inches inland.
- Sunday afternoon
through Monday: 4-6 inches along the coast , in the coast range and in the
south Washington Cascades.
1-2 inches for the Inland valleys and the Oregon Cascades.
More information can be found in regards to this storm or anytime by going to the National Weather Service Portland Webpage .
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